Lot No. LOT-4658 · offered October 9, 2026
Agricultural PolicyLot sheet
Trade truce extended to Jan. 10 as diesel tops $6, farm bill stalls
Trump pushes U.S.-China trade truce to Jan. 10, drawing bipartisan fire. Sen. Hoeven eyes a lame duck farm bill; Iowa Corn seeks a dyed-fuel waiver as diesel clears $6 a gallon.
Market notes
- Treasury Sec. Bessent extends U.S.-China trade truce from Nov. 10 to Jan. 10
- Sen. Hoeven targets lame duck session for farm bill after SNAP impasse
- USDA: more than 74 million hogs and pigs on U.S. farms Sept. 1, up 2% from June, down 2% from 2025
- On-highway diesel up ~60% YoY at $6+/gallon; ICGA seeks 55-70 cent dyed-fuel waiver
- NAEDA and Associated Equipment Distributors plan to merge into a single dealer group
The Trump administration will extend its trade truce with China by two months, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Wednesday, pushing the ceasefire's expiration from Nov. 10 to Jan. 10.
Will the trade truce extension hold?
Republicans framed the move as progress. Rep. Dusty Johnson, R-S.D., a House Agriculture Committee member, told Agri-Pulse that South Dakota farmers need certainty and global market access. "I'm hopeful a long-term trade agreement can be reached, but extending the trade truce provides much-needed stability for American producers and manufacturers while negotiations continue," he said.
Rep. Ashley Hinson, R-Iowa, called the extension momentum. "Iowa producers need long-term certainty and expanded market access through an enforceable trade agreement that holds China accountable," she said in a statement.
Democrats on the trade-writing panels blasted the decision to host Chinese President Xi Jinping. House Ways and Means ranking member Richard Neal, D-Mass., said Trump is "cowering before China while he punishes our closest allies with unfair tariffs."
Senate Finance ranking member Ron Wyden, D-Ore., went further. "In return for China breaking nearly every trade promise it has made, Trump is rolling out the red carpet for President Xi," Wyden said. "China is shortchanging our farmers by refusing to buy the ag goods it promised."
Can Congress finish a farm bill by year-end?
Sen. John Hoeven, R-N.D., sees a farm bill crossing the finish line in the post-election "lame duck" session. "I've talked to Republicans and Democrats, and you know, obviously the issue's been SNAP. We've offered them a very fair compromise, and I really think we get it done in the lame duck," he told Agri-Pulse Newsmakers.
Hoeven chairs the Senate Appropriations agriculture panel. He said the legislation could ride a supplemental funding or reconciliation package.
Senate Ag Chair John Boozman, R-Ark., said he'll work through the October recess to ready a bipartisan bill for November. The panel advanced the bill last week without Democratic support, split over SNAP. Ranking Democrat Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota said she still wants a 2026 path.
Boozman called his offer — a one-year delay before states absorb certain SNAP costs — the "best and final" Democratic package.
How much would dyed-fuel waivers save farmers?
Iowa Corn Growers Association President Steve Kuiper told Agri-Pulse an IRS waiver allowing on-road trucks to use tax-exempt dyed farm fuel would save Iowa farmers and truckers 55 cents a gallon and up to 70 cents in other states.
ICGA framed the request as urgent. National on-highway diesel prices have climbed nearly 60% year-over-year and now sit above $6 per gallon, the group said. Kuiper wrote that harvest should bring optimism, "but the concern of affordability looms large as diesel prices go above $6 per gallon. This is accelerating the economic and mental stress farmers are feeling."
ICGA also asked Congress to tap the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to ease supply.
Separately, the American Petroleum Institute, U.S. Chamber of Commerce and 34 other groups asked Trump in a Sept. 23 letter to reject calls to ban or curb U.S. diesel exports. "Export bans would lead to less fuel production, tighter supplies, and rising costs for American families, farmers, and truckers," the letter said.
API added that an export ban would remove the single largest diesel source from the world market, with "catastrophic" consequences.
What does the hog inventory signal?
USDA's quarterly hogs and pigs report, released Thursday, put more than 74 million head on U.S. farms as of Sept. 1. That's 2% above the June count but 2% below September 2025.
What changes with the equipment dealer merger?
The North American Equipment Dealers Association and Associated Equipment Distributors plan to merge into a single Associated Equipment Dealers group covering U.S. and Canadian dealers. NAEDA Chairman Steve Hunt said the deal "is about putting dealers first and positioning our industry for the future."
The new group's stated goal: pair "the strengths, expertise, and resources of both associations" to add member value and amplify dealer lobbying power.
Sen. Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa, warned in this week's Final Word that absent new Chinese ag purchase commitments, "all I can say is Trump is making a great big mistake by having a showcase of a communist autocrat."
via finance.senate.gov (Original)
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Senior reporter covering regulation, policy and their impact on Agribusiness coverage for industry professionals at Agribusiness Wire.
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